Richard Youngs, ed., After Protest: Pathways Beyond Mass Mobilization (Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2019). Moisés Naím and Brian Winter, “ Why Latin America Was Primed to Explode,” Foreign Affairs, October 29, 2019. Thomas Carothers and David Wong, “ The Coronavirus Pandemic Is Reshaping Global Protests,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, May 4, 2020. Thomas Carothers and David Wong, “ Misunderstanding Global Protests,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, April 1, 2020. Thomas Carothers, “ Dictators in Trouble,” Foreign Affairs, February 6, 2020. Recent publications from Carnegie scholars Reliance on English-language sources Data for this tracker are drawn from English-language news sources.
To account for the varying environments for protests across regime types, this tracker generally considers protests in contexts with a Freedom in the World rating of “free” or “partly free” to be significant if the protest’s peak size reaches or exceeds 10,000 protesters, and protests with a Freedom in the World rating of “not free” to be significant if the protest’s peak size reaches or exceeds 1,000 protesters.Īlthough most protests directly related to the coronavirus outbreak are so far quite small, they have been included in the tracker because of their potential impact on governance and policy at the local, national, and international levels and because of the overriding importance of the pandemic crisis. A large protest in a country where protesting is legal and occurs frequently may not be as significant as a small protest in a country where public demonstrations are banned and authorities are known to use violence against protesters. While a protest’s size can give some indication of its importance, it is not determinative on its own. The word significant here is understood in terms of political importance: the impact of a protest on a country’s political life. There is no scientifically precise way to define a significant protest.
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